3
Illinois
24-7·Big Ten·South Region
Championship
1.3%
Final Four
11.4%
Elite 8
28.9%
Sweet 16
77.7%
Scouting Report
Illinois has the offensive firepower to hang with anyone in a shootout. The question is whether their defense can hold up when games get tight. In the South with Florida and Houston, they'll need to be near-perfect to reach the Elite Eight.
Key Player
Kasparas Jakucionis
Injury Status
Healthy
Upset Risk
medium
Path to Championship
Round of 64
vs 14 Penn
95%
win probability
Round of 32
vs 6 North Carolina
78.1%
win probability
Final Four
vs 1 Duke
26.3%
win probability
Pool Value Analysis
Public Pick Rate
2%
Expected Pickers (100-person pool)
~3
EV Multiplier
33.56x
Illinois is a strong value pick because their championship probability is high relative to public ownership.
Rating Details
Efficiency Rating
28.1
Notes
No additional notes