2
Houston
28-6·Big 12·South Region
Championship
10%
Final Four
37.4%
Elite 8
65.4%
Sweet 16
90.3%
Scouting Report
The best value play in the tournament. Houston gets to play their regional games at home — an absurd structural advantage the committee handed them. Their defense is elite, their coach is elite, and now they get home cooking. The 2-seed is a lie. Treat them as a 1-seed with a discount.
Key Player
J'Wan Roberts
Injury Status
Healthy
Upset Risk
low
Path to Championship
Round of 64
vs 15 Idaho
98%
win probability
Round of 32
vs 7 Saint Mary's
90.1%
win probability
Final Four
vs 1 Duke
42.8%
win probability
Pool Value Analysis
Public Pick Rate
8%
Expected Pickers (100-person pool)
~8.9
EV Multiplier
11.21x
Houston is a strong value pick because their championship probability is high relative to public ownership.
Rating Details
Efficiency Rating
32.9
Notes
Playing South Regional IN Houston — home court