1
Michigan
31-3·Big Ten·Midwest Region
Championship
21.5%
Final Four
58.8%
Elite 8
80.9%
Sweet 16
95.5%
Scouting Report
Michigan's size and shot creation travel in March, and the market has caught up. Most books now treat the Wolverines as a co-favorite with Duke rather than just another 1-seed. The path is still dangerous, but the ceiling is clearly national-title level.
Key Player
Tre Donaldson
Injury Status
Healthy
Upset Risk
low
Path to Championship
Round of 64
vs 16 UMBC
99.5%
win probability
Round of 32
vs 8 Georgia
85%
win probability
Final Four
vs 1 Arizona
53.8%
win probability
Pool Value Analysis
Public Pick Rate
12%
Expected Pickers (100-person pool)
~12.9
EV Multiplier
7.76x
Michigan is a strong value pick because their championship probability is high relative to public ownership.
Rating Details
Efficiency Rating
34.9
Notes
Consensus co-favorite with Duke after Selection Sunday