1
Florida
26-7·SEC·South Region
Championship
15.3%
Final Four
46.8%
Elite 8
76.1%
Sweet 16
95%
Scouting Report
Florida moved from fringe top tier into the true contender band after the bracket dropped. The profile is simple: elite guard play, proven late-game shot making, and a cleaner title path than some of the other favorites. The market is paying attention now, but there is still room for the model to like them.
Key Player
Walter Clayton Jr.
Injury Status
Healthy
Upset Risk
low
Path to Championship
Round of 64
vs 16 Prairie View A&M
99.5%
win probability
Round of 32
vs 8 Clemson
85%
win probability
Final Four
vs 1 Michigan
46.6%
win probability
Pool Value Analysis
Public Pick Rate
7%
Expected Pickers (100-person pool)
~7.9
EV Multiplier
12.61x
Florida is a strong value pick because their championship probability is high relative to public ownership.
Rating Details
Efficiency Rating
34
Notes
Took real market steam into the +600 range after bracket release