4
Arkansas
26-8·SEC·West Region
Championship
0.4%
Final Four
5.7%
Elite 8
14%
Sweet 16
60.6%
Scouting Report
John Calipari's rebuild has been faster than anyone expected. Arkansas plays with the kind of frantic energy that either produces thrilling wins or ugly losses. In the West, they're a dark horse to crash Arizona's party if the matchups break right.
Key Player
Adou Thiero
Injury Status
Healthy
Upset Risk
medium
Path to Championship
Round of 64
vs 13 Hawaii
92%
win probability
Round of 32
vs 5 Wisconsin
60.6%
win probability
Final Four
vs 1 Duke
19.1%
win probability
Pool Value Analysis
Public Pick Rate
1%
Expected Pickers (100-person pool)
~2
EV Multiplier
50.25x
Arkansas is a strong value pick because their championship probability is high relative to public ownership.
Rating Details
Efficiency Rating
25.4
Notes
No additional notes