1
Arizona
32-2·Big 12·West Region
Championship
18.3%
Final Four
56.9%
Elite 8
77.3%
Sweet 16
94.8%
Scouting Report
The best team in college basketball and it's not particularly close. Arizona's defense suffocates opponents at every level — they rank top-3 nationally in adjusted defensive efficiency. The 7-deep rotation means they don't tire in March. The only question is whether the bracket gods give them a kind path or a brutal one.
Key Player
Caleb Love
Injury Status
Healthy
Upset Risk
low
Path to Championship
Round of 64
vs 16 LIU
99.5%
win probability
Round of 32
vs 8 Villanova
85%
win probability
Final Four
vs 1 Michigan
46.2%
win probability
Pool Value Analysis
Public Pick Rate
15%
Expected Pickers (100-person pool)
~15.9
EV Multiplier
6.31x
Arizona is a strong value pick because their championship probability is high relative to public ownership.
Rating Details
Efficiency Rating
33.9
Notes
Consensus top-tier 1-seed, still priced in the +550 range to win it all